The photo below is submitted as evidence to substantiate Louisiana's "happiest" state ranking. For the record, this is classified as "wildlife habitat and fisheries management" for continuing education purposes.
Thursday, December 31, 2009
Scene from a Louisiana chapter meeting
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Find out what you're worth
Check this out...
http://career-advice.monster.com/salary-benefits/salary-information/salary-wizard-calculator/article.aspx
http://career-advice.monster.com/salary-benefits/salary-information/salary-wizard-calculator/article.aspx
Happiest U.S. States Pinned Down
Sunday, December 27, 2009
Use Web marketing to boost sales
News & Observer
Published Sun, Dec 27, 2009 02:00 AM
Modified Thu, Dec 24, 2009 03:18 PM
Modified Thu, Dec 24, 2009 03:18 PM
Grace W. Ueng is CEO of Savvy Marketing Group inCary, which works with local companies. A consultant, speaker and writer, Ueng has served on the adjunct faculty at UNC-Chapel Hill's Kenan-Flagler Business School and in the international MBA program at Fudan in Shanghai, a joint venture with MIT Sloan School, teaching "Entrepreneurial Marketing and Innovation." For several weeks in Work & Money, Ueng is offering her 12-step guide to marketing new and existing businesses. Last week, she discussed how to generate sales leads. Today, she continues the discussion with the second part of Step 10. (To catch up, go to www.newsobserver.com/business).
Step 10: Get leads that generate sales via Web marketing
Because the majority of Web site traffic comes from search engines, many companies want to focus on better positioning. First, you need to determine whether your target audience will search online to find you. If so, invest energy in search engine optimization. This means ensuring that your Web pages are accessible to search engines and structured in ways that improve the chances they will be found and listed as far to the top of the list as possible.
Companies can also take advantage of many paid search vehicles which are usually measured by "pay per click."
E-mail marketing firms have found their business to thrive in the down economy, perhaps because this form of marketing is cost effective and when well-executed, can bear fruit. Winston Bowden, vice president of sales and marketing for Durham-based Contactology, offered this advice:
How often you contact your target customers depends on the expectations the marketer has established with its recipients. A news organization might send an e-mail every day. A retailer, however, may send only a few e-mails a month.
The key is sending valuable content. Don't waste your recipients' time. If you send too frequently, you risk alienating your list. That means fewer individuals will open and click on your messages. Even worse, it's likely many of your subscribers will request to be removed from your e-mail offers.
Email marketing is "the ketchup on the burger" for companies and organizations using the Web to drive sales.
Place links on your Web site so visitors can easily opt-in to your communications. Without e-mail marketing, a visitor to your Web site could browse and leave. No sale.With e-mail marketing, a visitor to your site can choose to opt-in to your e-mail content. You've taken what could have been a lost prospect and turned them into an e-mail subscriber.
Most importantly, segment your e-mail marketing based on whatever data you've collected about the subscriber: location, age, gender, etc.
Step 10: Get leads that generate sales via Web marketing
Because the majority of Web site traffic comes from search engines, many companies want to focus on better positioning. First, you need to determine whether your target audience will search online to find you. If so, invest energy in search engine optimization. This means ensuring that your Web pages are accessible to search engines and structured in ways that improve the chances they will be found and listed as far to the top of the list as possible.
Companies can also take advantage of many paid search vehicles which are usually measured by "pay per click."
E-mail marketing firms have found their business to thrive in the down economy, perhaps because this form of marketing is cost effective and when well-executed, can bear fruit. Winston Bowden, vice president of sales and marketing for Durham-based Contactology, offered this advice:
- Segmentation: Segmentation means sending multiple versions of your message with the needs of different groups in mind. Sending relevant communication through segmentation is a sure-fire way to increase response rates. Our customers segment based on a variety of data points: who has opened an e-mail, who has clicked, who hasn't responded, etc. For example, a marketer might send a follow-up campaign to all the recipients who clicked on a link in an e-mail. Segmenting by demographic data is also critical, especially for retailers. It's likely that your male customers have different needs than your female customers. An 18-year-old customer has different needs than a 50-year-old customer.
- Testing: Testing your campaigns is a great way to ensure response rates. Many e-mail marketing products offer testing, allowing marketers to send several different versions of an e-mail campaign to a small portion of their list. For example, you could send three different campaigns and try three different subject lines. You would then send the campaign with the highest open rate to the remainder of the list. You can test any portion of an e-mail campaign: subject line, imagery, copy variations and design elements.
- Deliverability: Regardless of your industry and what goals you associate with your e-mail marketing campaign, Bowden said there are some core "must dos." Deliverability should be the No.1 concern ofevery e-mail marketer. If your message doesn't make it to the inbox, your campaign has zero chance of success. Work with an e-mail marketing provider that maintains strong relationships with the Internet service providers.
- List quality: Just as important is for the sender to obtain permission before sending to an e-mail address. Individuals on the list should have asked to receive it. E-mailing to a purchased or rented list is not an acceptable practice in thee-mail marketing industry. Most reputable providers won't work with any list that isn't 100 percent opt-in.
How often you contact your target customers depends on the expectations the marketer has established with its recipients. A news organization might send an e-mail every day. A retailer, however, may send only a few e-mails a month.
The key is sending valuable content. Don't waste your recipients' time. If you send too frequently, you risk alienating your list. That means fewer individuals will open and click on your messages. Even worse, it's likely many of your subscribers will request to be removed from your e-mail offers.
Email marketing is "the ketchup on the burger" for companies and organizations using the Web to drive sales.
Place links on your Web site so visitors can easily opt-in to your communications. Without e-mail marketing, a visitor to your Web site could browse and leave. No sale.With e-mail marketing, a visitor to your site can choose to opt-in to your e-mail content. You've taken what could have been a lost prospect and turned them into an e-mail subscriber.
- Responsiveness: Once you have signed up subscribers, reward them with coupons and special offers. An opt-in is a clear sign of interest. Send them e-mail immediately and include lots of links back to your site.
Most importantly, segment your e-mail marketing based on whatever data you've collected about the subscriber: location, age, gender, etc.
Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Judge upholds surveys for species before logging
Coming to a forest near you?
http://www.mercurynews.com/news/ci_14028331?nclick_check=1
http://www.mercurynews.com/news/ci_14028331?nclick_check=1
Sunday, December 20, 2009
Be sure participating in a trade show will pay
News and Observer
Published Sun, Dec 20, 2009 02:00 AM
Modified Fri, Dec 18, 2009 06:46 PM
Modified Fri, Dec 18, 2009 06:46 PM
Grace W. Ueng is CEO of Savvy Marketing Group in Cary, which works with various local companies. A consultant, speaker and writer, Ueng has served on the adjunct faculty at UNC-Chapel Hill's Kenan-Flagler Business School and in the international MBA program at Fudan in Shanghai, a joint venture with MIT Sloan School, teaching "Entrepreneurial Marketing and Innovation." For several weeks in Work & Money, Ueng is offering her 12-step guide to marketing new and existing businesses. Last week, she discussed how to promote products (to catch up, go to www.newsobserver.com/business).
Step 10: Get leads that generate sales
Continually test appropriate lead generation vehicles that make sense for your category such as e-mail marketing, search engine optimization, paid search, direct mail, targeted trade shows and conferences, or a motivating referral program. Track the return on investment of each marketing program to know what to refine, continue or drop.
Sales teams will always desire high quality leads. They don't want to be calling into unqualified opportunities. Clay Ritchey, vice president of marketing and strategy for Hill-Rom IT Solutions, made the promise to his sales organization that marketing would not hand over leads unless they met certain criteria.
Ritchey explained that leads handed over to sales must have a budget and accountable decision maker, a demonstrated need that Hill-Rom can fulfill and a timeline to purchase within 12-18 months. The sales team then agrees to make contact within a week.
Dan Clem, director of marketing at AlertNow, said that large events have proved the most effective in reaching his company's target audience, K-12 educators.
Events require great attention to detail before, during and after the show. Companies should step back and think through the goals and corresponding key components to their trade show and conference sponsorship strategy to warrant the investment required. Goals could include: driving awareness with media and analysts who can influence the market, generating prospects for sales, and connecting with potential partners.
Often the leads generated from trade shows are not as targeted as with other marketing programs.
How to evaluate
Before signing on for a trade show, evaluate:
Analyze the return on investment of the past year's shows - what the total costs were, how many leads were generated and what business (deals, public relations, partnerships) yielded as a result.
Immediately upon accepting the worldwide marketing leadership role for TogetherSoft in Raleigh, I inherited the responsibility for launching a new product at the largest trade show in the category we competed.
I thought about how we could let our broader target market that would all be in attendance (many of which used our competition) learn about the key attributes that our smaller, but loyal users had come to rely on. We came up with "The TogetherSoft Challenge" a la the Pepsi Challenge.
From my research, we knew where we excelled, and we crafted a simple survey for software developers (our target audience) to rate us against our competition after viewing the latest version of our software tool. Those that viewed the demo and then took the survey were entered into a drawing for a BMW StreetCarver skateboard.
We had hundreds participate after viewing our demo and more than 90 percent thought TogetherSoft performed better and was the preferred product.
We sent the survey results to trade publications and industry analysts resulting in extensive coverage. Several months later, one of the two competitors of TogetherSoft purchased the venture-backed company.
Step 10: Get leads that generate sales
Continually test appropriate lead generation vehicles that make sense for your category such as e-mail marketing, search engine optimization, paid search, direct mail, targeted trade shows and conferences, or a motivating referral program. Track the return on investment of each marketing program to know what to refine, continue or drop.
Sales teams will always desire high quality leads. They don't want to be calling into unqualified opportunities. Clay Ritchey, vice president of marketing and strategy for Hill-Rom IT Solutions, made the promise to his sales organization that marketing would not hand over leads unless they met certain criteria.
Ritchey explained that leads handed over to sales must have a budget and accountable decision maker, a demonstrated need that Hill-Rom can fulfill and a timeline to purchase within 12-18 months. The sales team then agrees to make contact within a week.
Dan Clem, director of marketing at AlertNow, said that large events have proved the most effective in reaching his company's target audience, K-12 educators.
Events require great attention to detail before, during and after the show. Companies should step back and think through the goals and corresponding key components to their trade show and conference sponsorship strategy to warrant the investment required. Goals could include: driving awareness with media and analysts who can influence the market, generating prospects for sales, and connecting with potential partners.
Often the leads generated from trade shows are not as targeted as with other marketing programs.
How to evaluate
Before signing on for a trade show, evaluate:
- Is this a must-attend show (especially, to continue to be on good terms with a key partner)?
- Will there be opportunities to speak that can contribute to your company's stature as a "thought leader"? You may need to plan months in advance of the show to make their deadlines. Develop a couple of topics.
- Is the timing appropriate to launch a new product? If so, be sure the product is ready by show time.
- How many attendees does the show organizer expect, and what titles and companies will be present? How closely does this fit with your target audience?
- What is the total cost of the show,, and what is predicted average cost per lead?
- How many people will it take to staff, and can you afford to take sales reps out of the field - is this the best use of time? If not, do you have non-sales staff available? Or a hybrid approach?
- What press will be attending? Can you get the media list and make appointments ahead of time?
- Can you obtain an attendee list to market directly to each before and after the event?
- What are booth size choices, and what will be your messaging, promotional idea, and signage/communications? How will you stand out?
- Can you get prime positioning by registering earlier? What size booth are your competitors taking?
Analyze the return on investment of the past year's shows - what the total costs were, how many leads were generated and what business (deals, public relations, partnerships) yielded as a result.
Immediately upon accepting the worldwide marketing leadership role for TogetherSoft in Raleigh, I inherited the responsibility for launching a new product at the largest trade show in the category we competed.
I thought about how we could let our broader target market that would all be in attendance (many of which used our competition) learn about the key attributes that our smaller, but loyal users had come to rely on. We came up with "The TogetherSoft Challenge" a la the Pepsi Challenge.
From my research, we knew where we excelled, and we crafted a simple survey for software developers (our target audience) to rate us against our competition after viewing the latest version of our software tool. Those that viewed the demo and then took the survey were entered into a drawing for a BMW StreetCarver skateboard.
We had hundreds participate after viewing our demo and more than 90 percent thought TogetherSoft performed better and was the preferred product.
We sent the survey results to trade publications and industry analysts resulting in extensive coverage. Several months later, one of the two competitors of TogetherSoft purchased the venture-backed company.
Let client guide promotion
News and Observer
Published Tue, Dec 15, 2009 11:24 AM
Modified Tue, Dec 15, 2009 11:24 AM
Modified Tue, Dec 15, 2009 11:24 AM
Grace W. Ueng is CEO of Savvy Marketing Group in Cary, which works with various local companies. A consultant, speaker and writer, Ueng has served on the adjunct faculty at UNC-Chapel Hill's Kenan-Flagler Business School and in the international MBA program at Fudan in Shanghai, a joint venture with MIT Sloan School, teaching "Entrepreneurial Marketing and Innovation." For several weeks in Work&Money, Ueng is offering her 12-step guide to marketing new and existing businesses. Last week, she discussed how to generate awareness (to catch up, go to www.newsobserver.com/business ).
Step 9: Promote yourself.
If your product is sold via channels, think through ways to promote to a corporate buyer as well as retail customers. For some businesses, the majority of revenue occurs in key seasons such as the holidays or summer vacations. Promoting valuable offers, unique products or gift packs to induce trial of incremental offerings could create the key difference in reaching revenue goals.
Lulu.com, headquartered in Raleigh, is a digital marketplace that serves both authors and readers. The company needs more authors to attract more readers and more readers to attract more authors. The marketing staff thinks about both groups in approaching promotions.
"For authors, one of the most compelling aspects of Lulu is that it's free to publish. We charge no upfront fees," explained Rob Croft, director of marketing at Lulu. This year, Lulu built a campaign around that fact. It promoted its free platform and the availability of free ISBNs. And the company threw in a free book so authors could experience the satisfaction of seeing their works in print. Lulu relied heavily on search engine marketing, which gave the highest return on investment for acquiring new customers.
As it turns out, authors also are instrumental in book sales at Lulu. They all have a base of readers and are always eager to encourage them to buy. This year, Lulu started monthly sales contests for its authors. The company gave participants coupons to promote their books and offered tips on increasing sales. It awarded cash prizes to winners. This program created both community and action.
"We planned a number of 'doorbuster' deals on Black Friday and Cyber Monday to drive sales," Croft said.
"Every day in December, we'll have a different promotion to help our customers find and create memorable and meaningful gifts at the best prices. We'll also have a gift ideas page with our holiday pricing."
All of the promotions Lulu is running this holiday season have been informed by experiences from the year. The company has spent much of 2009 looking at ways to drive more transactions during off-peak periods.
Not everything Lulu has done has worked, such as promoting hardcover books, Croft said. Hardcovers fall into the luxury category, making it harder to drive sales even with promotions, Croft said. Know your audience well and assemble your promotions accordingly to be most appealing.
Promotions can be used to launch new companies and their products as well as mature companies - with the latter being often more challenging to make compelling. While the brand's heritage may be more established, it is more difficult to come up with a promotion that seems new to the target market. Years ago, when I was responsible for consumer product line management for a publicly traded educational software company, I was responsible for a mature software title that you may remember playing in school called "Oregon Trail." As I was brainstorming the possibilities one day, I remembered that the 25th anniversary of "Oregon Trail"'s first version on the teletype computer was on the horizon.
I worked with our team on a 25th anniversary edition of "Oregon Trail" complete with serialized limited edition authentication certificates, classic versions along with the latest on one disk, all captured in a wooden keepsake box with western wagons burnished along the sides. The title quickly rose to the top 10 of the educational software rankings.
No matter what product or service you offer, take the time to step back and brainstorm compelling promotions, keeping your revenue goals, product attributes, its newness (brand new or mature?), target audience and ties to a season in mind.
Step 9: Promote yourself.
If your product is sold via channels, think through ways to promote to a corporate buyer as well as retail customers. For some businesses, the majority of revenue occurs in key seasons such as the holidays or summer vacations. Promoting valuable offers, unique products or gift packs to induce trial of incremental offerings could create the key difference in reaching revenue goals.
Lulu.com, headquartered in Raleigh, is a digital marketplace that serves both authors and readers. The company needs more authors to attract more readers and more readers to attract more authors. The marketing staff thinks about both groups in approaching promotions.
"For authors, one of the most compelling aspects of Lulu is that it's free to publish. We charge no upfront fees," explained Rob Croft, director of marketing at Lulu. This year, Lulu built a campaign around that fact. It promoted its free platform and the availability of free ISBNs. And the company threw in a free book so authors could experience the satisfaction of seeing their works in print. Lulu relied heavily on search engine marketing, which gave the highest return on investment for acquiring new customers.
As it turns out, authors also are instrumental in book sales at Lulu. They all have a base of readers and are always eager to encourage them to buy. This year, Lulu started monthly sales contests for its authors. The company gave participants coupons to promote their books and offered tips on increasing sales. It awarded cash prizes to winners. This program created both community and action.
"We planned a number of 'doorbuster' deals on Black Friday and Cyber Monday to drive sales," Croft said.
"Every day in December, we'll have a different promotion to help our customers find and create memorable and meaningful gifts at the best prices. We'll also have a gift ideas page with our holiday pricing."
All of the promotions Lulu is running this holiday season have been informed by experiences from the year. The company has spent much of 2009 looking at ways to drive more transactions during off-peak periods.
Not everything Lulu has done has worked, such as promoting hardcover books, Croft said. Hardcovers fall into the luxury category, making it harder to drive sales even with promotions, Croft said. Know your audience well and assemble your promotions accordingly to be most appealing.
Promotions can be used to launch new companies and their products as well as mature companies - with the latter being often more challenging to make compelling. While the brand's heritage may be more established, it is more difficult to come up with a promotion that seems new to the target market. Years ago, when I was responsible for consumer product line management for a publicly traded educational software company, I was responsible for a mature software title that you may remember playing in school called "Oregon Trail." As I was brainstorming the possibilities one day, I remembered that the 25th anniversary of "Oregon Trail"'s first version on the teletype computer was on the horizon.
I worked with our team on a 25th anniversary edition of "Oregon Trail" complete with serialized limited edition authentication certificates, classic versions along with the latest on one disk, all captured in a wooden keepsake box with western wagons burnished along the sides. The title quickly rose to the top 10 of the educational software rankings.
No matter what product or service you offer, take the time to step back and brainstorm compelling promotions, keeping your revenue goals, product attributes, its newness (brand new or mature?), target audience and ties to a season in mind.
To be noticed, sponsor events
News and Observer
Published Sun, Dec 06, 2009 05:05 AM
Modified Fri, Dec 11, 2009 07:06 PM
Published Sun, Dec 06, 2009 05:05 AM
Modified Fri, Dec 11, 2009 07:06 PM
Grace W. Ueng is CEO of Savvy Marketing Group in Cary, which works with various local companies. A consultant, speaker and writer, Ueng has served on the adjunct faculty at UNC-Chapel Hill's Kenan-Flagler Business School and in the international MBA program at Fudan in Shanghai, a joint venture with MIT Sloan School, teaching "Entrepreneurial Marketing and Innovation." For several weeks in Work&Money, Ueng is offering her 12-step guide to marketing new and existing businesses. Last week, she discussed how to price new products (to catch up, go to www.newsobserver.com/business).
Step 8. Generate awareness
Sean Murphy said that online seminars have been effective at NeoNova, where he is vice president of sales, marketing and business development.
"Earlier this year, we were the first to market with timely content and commentary around the broadband stimulus program aimed directly at our customer-base," he said. "We pulled together our webinar on a sprint speed schedule before others were able to and captured the lion's share of prospects interested in this topic. The feedback was very positive."
Dan Clem, director of marketing at AlertNow, said that sponsoring an event such as a breakfast at a state school board event gives him 10 minutes to speak in front of a captive target market. Rather than using that time to have an employee speak, Dan prefers to be introduced by a happy customer who tells the AlertNow story.
Lee Prevost, president of SchoolDude.com, said that his company has used trade shows and associations, as well as newsletters. Going forward, it will use professional online networks.
Hosted Solutions has sponsored events to establish brand awareness.
In the competitive markets such as Boston in which they compete, choosing to sponsor events that position them to look bigger than they are is key to winning business when competing against giants.
But Noreen Allen, vice president of marketing for Hosted Solutions, warned to be careful with sponsorships: "Do things that are more memorable. Constantly evaluate what is working and not working. Try new things - we took customers whitewater rafting - it was a new thing, as football and hockey can get old."
Hosted Solutions has also used social media successfully to create awareness of their events. Allen said that LinkedIn was useful for promoting an event this past summer that attracted a large crowd. She is a big fan of influencer marketing and plans to do more with the company's blog and Twitter by commenting on hot topics in coming months.
Step 8. Generate awareness
Sean Murphy said that online seminars have been effective at NeoNova, where he is vice president of sales, marketing and business development.
"Earlier this year, we were the first to market with timely content and commentary around the broadband stimulus program aimed directly at our customer-base," he said. "We pulled together our webinar on a sprint speed schedule before others were able to and captured the lion's share of prospects interested in this topic. The feedback was very positive."
Dan Clem, director of marketing at AlertNow, said that sponsoring an event such as a breakfast at a state school board event gives him 10 minutes to speak in front of a captive target market. Rather than using that time to have an employee speak, Dan prefers to be introduced by a happy customer who tells the AlertNow story.
Lee Prevost, president of SchoolDude.com, said that his company has used trade shows and associations, as well as newsletters. Going forward, it will use professional online networks.
Hosted Solutions has sponsored events to establish brand awareness.
In the competitive markets such as Boston in which they compete, choosing to sponsor events that position them to look bigger than they are is key to winning business when competing against giants.
But Noreen Allen, vice president of marketing for Hosted Solutions, warned to be careful with sponsorships: "Do things that are more memorable. Constantly evaluate what is working and not working. Try new things - we took customers whitewater rafting - it was a new thing, as football and hockey can get old."
Hosted Solutions has also used social media successfully to create awareness of their events. Allen said that LinkedIn was useful for promoting an event this past summer that attracted a large crowd. She is a big fan of influencer marketing and plans to do more with the company's blog and Twitter by commenting on hot topics in coming months.
Open Letter to UN Secretary-General
His Excellency Ban Ki Moon
Secretary-General, United Nations
New York, NY
United States of America
December 8, 2009
It is not the responsibility of ‘climate realist’ scientists to prove that dangerous human-caused climate change is not happening. Rather, it is those who propose that it is, and promote the allocation of massive investments to solve the supposed ‘problem’, who have the obligation to convincingly demonstrate that recent climate change is not of mostly natural origin and, if we do nothing, catastrophic change will ensue. To date, this they have utterly failed to do.
Secretary-General, United Nations
New York, NY
United States of America
Dear Secretary-General,
Climate change science is in a period of ‘negative discovery’ - the more we learn about this exceptionally complex and rapidly evolving field the more we realize how little we know. Truly, the science is NOT settled.
Therefore, there is no sound reason to impose expensive and restrictive public policy decisions on the peoples of the Earth without first providing convincing evidence that human activities are causing dangerous climate change beyond that resulting from natural causes. Before any precipitate action is taken, we must have solid observational data demonstrating that recent changes in climate differ substantially from changes observed in the past and are well in excess of normal variations caused by solar cycles, ocean currents, changes in the Earth's orbital parameters and other natural phenomena.
We the undersigned, being qualified in climate-related scientific disciplines, challenge the UNFCCC and supporters of the United Nations Climate Change Conference to produce convincing OBSERVATIONAL EVIDENCE for their claims of dangerous human-caused global warming and other changes in climate. Projections of possible future scenarios from unproven computer models of climate are not acceptable substitutes for real world data obtained through unbiased and rigorous scientific investigation.
Specifically, we challenge supporters of the hypothesis of dangerous human-caused climate change to demonstrate that:
- Variations in global climate in the last hundred years are significantly outside the natural range experienced in previous centuries;
- Humanity’s emissions of carbon dioxide and other ‘greenhouse gases’ (GHG) are having a dangerous impact on global climate;
- Computer-based models can meaningfully replicate the impact of all of the natural factors that may significantly influence climate;
- Sea levels are rising dangerously at a rate that has accelerated with increasing human GHG emissions, thereby threatening small islands and coastal communities;
- The incidence of malaria is increasing due to recent climate changes;
- Human society and natural ecosystems cannot adapt to foreseeable climate change as they have done in the past;
- Worldwide glacier retreat, and sea ice melting in Polar Regions , is unusual and related to increases in human GHG emissions;
- Polar bears and other Arctic and Antarctic wildlife are unable to adapt to anticipated local climate change effects, independent of the causes of those changes;
- Hurricanes, other tropical cyclones and associated extreme weather events are increasing in severity and frequency;
- Data recorded by ground-based stations are a reliable indicator of surface temperature trends.
It is not the responsibility of ‘climate realist’ scientists to prove that dangerous human-caused climate change is not happening. Rather, it is those who propose that it is, and promote the allocation of massive investments to solve the supposed ‘problem’, who have the obligation to convincingly demonstrate that recent climate change is not of mostly natural origin and, if we do nothing, catastrophic change will ensue. To date, this they have utterly failed to do.
Signed by:
Science and Technology Experts Well Qualified in Climate Science
Friday, December 18, 2009
Ecologist criticizes 'herd mentality' on climate
He is one of 141 scientists who have written a letter to the U.N. secretary-general saying there's no proof of human-caused global warming
By Paul Fattig
Mail Tribune
December 16, 2009 5:00 AM
If you ask Bob Zybach, he will tell you there is a global warming problem.
But the forest ecologist figures it is nothing more than hot air from scientists and politicians gathered in Copenhagen at the United Nations' global warming conference.
"The bottom line is that the science on global warming is unsettled — there is no consensus on the science," he said. "There is simply a hypothesis at this point. How about some proof?"
He took issue with a Dec. 3 article in the Mail Tribune which reported that the Society of Conservation Biology sent a letter to the prime minister of Denmark recommending 11 climate change policy principles be adopted at the conference.
Forest ecologist Dominick DellaSala of Ashland wrote two of those principles for the society comprised of more than 10,000 conservation scientists from 140 countries.
DellaSala, president and chief scientist of the National Center for Conservation Science & Policy in Ashland, recommended that policies be adopted to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to those approaching historic levels and protect the world's primary and older forests for their ability to capture and store large quantities of carbon for centuries.
The society believes there is ample proof of human-caused climate change, from the growing greenhouse gases in the atmosphere to rising temperatures worldwide.
Zybach disagrees. He was among 141 scientists from around the world, including former Oregon state climatologist George Taylor, who fired off a letter on Dec. 9 to Ban Ki Moon, secretary-general of United Nations, stressing they believe there are more questions than answers about global warming.
" ... there is no sound reason to impose expensive and restrictive public policy decisions on the peoples of the Earth without first providing convincing evidence that human activities are causing dangerous climate change beyond that resulting from natural causes," the letter stated.
"Before any precipitate action is taken, we must have solid observational data demonstrating that recent changes in climate differ substantially from changes observed in the past and are well in excess of normal variations caused by solar cycles, ocean currents, changes in the Earth's orbital parameters and other natural phenomena," it added.
It called for supporters of the U.N.'s Climate Change Conference to produce "convincing observational evidence" supporting their claims of dangerous human-caused global warming and other changes in climate.
Zybach, 61, who is based in Cottage Grove but began studying forests in Jackson and Josephine counties in the late 1980s, acknowledged that many scientists would concur with the society's and DellaSala's conclusion.
Zybach said he believes that's the product of a "herd" mentality fueled by politics, which results in anyone questioning their views being vilified by the majority.
"Skeptics are supposed to be at the core of science, not on the fringe," said Zybach who focused on the study of historical ecology while earning his doctorate's degree at Oregon State University. His research was on the practice of woodland burning by American Indians and catastrophic wildfire patterns of Western Oregon. He is the program manager of the nonprofit Oregon Websites and Watersheds Project, Inc. which can be found at www.orww.org.
In particular, Zybach questioned the reliability of computer models to predict global warming.
"Nobody knows what the weather is going to be in five minutes," he said. "So how can they accurately predict what it is going to be like in 50 or 100 years?"
His research also rejects claims that global temperatures in the past century are exceptions to the norm. It was much warmer 5,000 to 7,000 years ago, he said.
"We also know the 1930s was warmer and drier than the past 100 years," he said. "Yet there was a lot less carbon dioxide in the air in the 1930s."
In turn, it was cooler from the 1940s into the 1980s, he said.
"The data just doesn't support their assumption," he continued. " ... We need to get away from science as politics or science as religion. We need to get back to scientific methodology."
Zybach insisted he has no political ax to grind.
"I'm apolitical, staunchly so," he said.
"We do have some real problems on this planet — infant mortality, overpopulation, wars," he added. "We need to direct our resources at human misery, not at problems that don't exist."
Reach reporter Paul Fattig at 776-4496 or e-mail him at pfattig@mailtribune.com.
http://www.mailtribune.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20091216/NEWS/912160319
By Paul Fattig
Mail Tribune
December 16, 2009 5:00 AM
If you ask Bob Zybach, he will tell you there is a global warming problem.
But the forest ecologist figures it is nothing more than hot air from scientists and politicians gathered in Copenhagen at the United Nations' global warming conference.
"The bottom line is that the science on global warming is unsettled — there is no consensus on the science," he said. "There is simply a hypothesis at this point. How about some proof?"
He took issue with a Dec. 3 article in the Mail Tribune which reported that the Society of Conservation Biology sent a letter to the prime minister of Denmark recommending 11 climate change policy principles be adopted at the conference.
Forest ecologist Dominick DellaSala of Ashland wrote two of those principles for the society comprised of more than 10,000 conservation scientists from 140 countries.
DellaSala, president and chief scientist of the National Center for Conservation Science & Policy in Ashland, recommended that policies be adopted to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to those approaching historic levels and protect the world's primary and older forests for their ability to capture and store large quantities of carbon for centuries.
The society believes there is ample proof of human-caused climate change, from the growing greenhouse gases in the atmosphere to rising temperatures worldwide.
Zybach disagrees. He was among 141 scientists from around the world, including former Oregon state climatologist George Taylor, who fired off a letter on Dec. 9 to Ban Ki Moon, secretary-general of United Nations, stressing they believe there are more questions than answers about global warming.
" ... there is no sound reason to impose expensive and restrictive public policy decisions on the peoples of the Earth without first providing convincing evidence that human activities are causing dangerous climate change beyond that resulting from natural causes," the letter stated.
"Before any precipitate action is taken, we must have solid observational data demonstrating that recent changes in climate differ substantially from changes observed in the past and are well in excess of normal variations caused by solar cycles, ocean currents, changes in the Earth's orbital parameters and other natural phenomena," it added.
It called for supporters of the U.N.'s Climate Change Conference to produce "convincing observational evidence" supporting their claims of dangerous human-caused global warming and other changes in climate.
Zybach, 61, who is based in Cottage Grove but began studying forests in Jackson and Josephine counties in the late 1980s, acknowledged that many scientists would concur with the society's and DellaSala's conclusion.
Zybach said he believes that's the product of a "herd" mentality fueled by politics, which results in anyone questioning their views being vilified by the majority.
"Skeptics are supposed to be at the core of science, not on the fringe," said Zybach who focused on the study of historical ecology while earning his doctorate's degree at Oregon State University. His research was on the practice of woodland burning by American Indians and catastrophic wildfire patterns of Western Oregon. He is the program manager of the nonprofit Oregon Websites and Watersheds Project, Inc. which can be found at www.orww.org.
In particular, Zybach questioned the reliability of computer models to predict global warming.
"Nobody knows what the weather is going to be in five minutes," he said. "So how can they accurately predict what it is going to be like in 50 or 100 years?"
His research also rejects claims that global temperatures in the past century are exceptions to the norm. It was much warmer 5,000 to 7,000 years ago, he said.
"We also know the 1930s was warmer and drier than the past 100 years," he said. "Yet there was a lot less carbon dioxide in the air in the 1930s."
In turn, it was cooler from the 1940s into the 1980s, he said.
"The data just doesn't support their assumption," he continued. " ... We need to get away from science as politics or science as religion. We need to get back to scientific methodology."
Zybach insisted he has no political ax to grind.
"I'm apolitical, staunchly so," he said.
"We do have some real problems on this planet — infant mortality, overpopulation, wars," he added. "We need to direct our resources at human misery, not at problems that don't exist."
Reach reporter Paul Fattig at 776-4496 or e-mail him at pfattig@mailtribune.com.
http://www.mailtribune.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20091216/NEWS/912160319
Thursday, December 17, 2009
AP study: Hacked climate e-mails show potential ethical breaches but not faulty science
By Seth Borenstein, Raphael Satter and Malcolm Ritter
The Associated Press
The Associated Press
Posted: 12/13/2009 01:00:00 AM MST
Updated: 12/13/2009 01:07:22 AM MST
LONDON — E-mails stolen from climate scientists show they stonewalled skeptics and discussed hiding data — but the messages don't support claims that the science of global warming was faked, according to an exhaustive review by The Associated Press.
The 1,073 e-mails examined by AP show that scientists harbored private doubts, however slight and fleeting, even as they told the world they were certain about climate change. However, the exchanges don't undercut the vast body of evidence showing the world is warming because of man-made greenhouse-gas emissions.
LONDON — E-mails stolen from climate scientists show they stonewalled skeptics and discussed hiding data — but the messages don't support claims that the science of global warming was faked, according to an exhaustive review by The Associated Press.
The 1,073 e-mails examined by AP show that scientists harbored private doubts, however slight and fleeting, even as they told the world they were certain about climate change. However, the exchanges don't undercut the vast body of evidence showing the world is warming because of man-made greenhouse-gas emissions.
The scientists were keenly aware of how their work would be viewed and used, and, just like politicians, went to great pains to shape their message. Sometimes, they sounded more like schoolyard taunts than scientific tenets.
The scientists were so convinced by their own science and so driven by a cause "that unless you're with them, you're against them," said Mark Frankel, director of scientific freedom, responsibility and law at the American Association for the Advancement of Science. He also reviewed the communications.
Frankel saw "no evidence of falsification or fabrication of data, although concerns could be raised about some instances of very 'generous interpretations.' "
Some e-mails expressed doubts about the quality of individual temperature records or why models and data didn't quite match. Part of this is the normal give-and-take of research, but skeptics challenged how reliable certain data were.
The e-mails were stolen from the computer network server of the climate research unit at the University of East Anglia in southeastern England, an influential source of climate science, and were posted online last month. The university shut down the server and contacted the police.
Some of the e-mails mention, were written by or were sent to prominent Boulder researchers at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the University of Colorado and the National Center for Atmospheric Research, including senior scientists Tom Wigley and Kevin Trenberth.
Lack of transparency
AP studied all the e-mails for context, with five reporters reading and rereading them — about 1 million words in total.
One of the most disturbing elements suggests an effort to avoid sharing scientific data with critics skeptical of global warming. It is not clear whether any data were destroyed; two U.S. researchers denied it.
The e-mails show that several mainstream scientists repeatedly suggested keeping their research materials away from opponents who sought it under American and British public-records laws. It raises a science ethics question, because free access to data is important so others can repeat experiments as part of the scientific method.
The University of East Anglia is investigating the blocking of information requests.
"I believe none of us should submit to these 'requests,' " declared the university's Keith Briffa. The center's chief, Phil Jones, wrote: "Data is covered by all the agreements we sign with people, so I will be hiding behind them."
When one skeptic kept filing FOI requests, Jones, who didn't return AP requests for comment, told another scientist, Michael Mann: "You can delete this attachment if you want. Keep this quiet also, but this is the person who is putting FOI requests for all e-mails Keith (Briffa) and Tim (Osborn) have written."
Mann, a researcher at Penn State University, told AP: "I didn't delete any e-mails as Phil asked me to. I don't believe anybody else did."
"Culture of corruption"
The most provocative e-mails are usually about one aspect of climate science: research from a decade ago that studied how warm or cold it was centuries ago through analysis of tree rings, ice cores and glacial melt. And most of those e-mails, which stretch from 1996 to last month, are from about a handful of scientists in dozens of e-mails.
Still, such research has been a key element in measuring climate change over long periods.
As part of the AP review, summaries of the e-mails that raised issues from the potential manipulation of data to intensely personal attacks were sent to seven experts in research ethics, climate science and science policy.
"This is normal science politics, but on the extreme end, though still within bounds," said Dan Sarewitz, a science policy professor at Arizona State University. "We talk about science as this pure ideal and the scientific method as if it is something out of a cookbook, but research is a social and human activity full of all the failings of society and humans, and this reality gets totally magnified by the high political stakes here."
In the past three weeks since the e-mails were posted, longtime opponents of mainstream climate science have repeatedly quoted excerpts of about a dozen e-mails. Republican congressmen and former vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin have called for either independent investigations, a delay in U.S. Environmental Protection Agency regulation of greenhouse gases or outright boycotts of the Copenhagen international climate talks. They cited a "culture of corruption" that the e-mails appeared to show.
That is not what AP found.
There were signs of trying to present the data as convincingly as possible.
One e-mail that skeptics have been citing often since the messages were posted online is from Jones. He says: "I've just completed Mike's (Mann) trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (from 1981 onward) and from 1961 for Keith's to hide the decline."
Jones was referring to tree ring data that indicated temperatures after the 1950s weren't as warm as scientists had determined.
The "trick" that Jones said he was borrowing from Mann was to add the real temperatures, not what the tree rings showed. And the decline he talked of hiding was not in real temperatures but in the tree-ring data, which was misleading, Mann explained.
But in the end, global warming didn't go away, according to the vast body of research over the years.
None of the e-mails flagged by AP and sent to three climate scientists viewed as moderates in the field changed their view that global warming is man-made and a threat. Nor did it alter their support of the conclusions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which some of the scientists helped write.
"There is nothing we can do about them aside from continuing to publish quality work in quality journals (or calling in a Mafia hit)."
— Scientist in a March 12, 2003, e-mail about the work of two skeptics. Their paper minimizing the impact of human activity on climate change was eventually discredited when it was found to have been funded in part by the oil industry.
"In an odd way this is cheering news!" — A climate scientist reacts to the death of a climate change skeptic in January 2004.
"Personally, I wouldn't send him anything. I have no idea what he's up to, but you can be sure it falls into the 'no good' category."
— Michael Mann, in a Sept. 2, 2004, conversation about scientific rival Steve McIntyre's requests for data.
"I can't see either of these papers being in the next IPCC report. Kevin and I will keep them out somehow — even if we have to redefine what the peer-review literature is."
— Phil Jones, in a July 8, 2004, e-mail to Mann marked "HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL." In fact, the two papers did appear in the IPCC report, according to the journal Nature.
The scientists were so convinced by their own science and so driven by a cause "that unless you're with them, you're against them," said Mark Frankel, director of scientific freedom, responsibility and law at the American Association for the Advancement of Science. He also reviewed the communications.
Frankel saw "no evidence of falsification or fabrication of data, although concerns could be raised about some instances of very 'generous interpretations.' "
Some e-mails expressed doubts about the quality of individual temperature records or why models and data didn't quite match. Part of this is the normal give-and-take of research, but skeptics challenged how reliable certain data were.
The e-mails were stolen from the computer network server of the climate research unit at the University of East Anglia in southeastern England, an influential source of climate science, and were posted online last month. The university shut down the server and contacted the police.
Some of the e-mails mention, were written by or were sent to prominent Boulder researchers at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the University of Colorado and the National Center for Atmospheric Research, including senior scientists Tom Wigley and Kevin Trenberth.
Lack of transparency
AP studied all the e-mails for context, with five reporters reading and rereading them — about 1 million words in total.
One of the most disturbing elements suggests an effort to avoid sharing scientific data with critics skeptical of global warming. It is not clear whether any data were destroyed; two U.S. researchers denied it.
The e-mails show that several mainstream scientists repeatedly suggested keeping their research materials away from opponents who sought it under American and British public-records laws. It raises a science ethics question, because free access to data is important so others can repeat experiments as part of the scientific method.
The University of East Anglia is investigating the blocking of information requests.
"I believe none of us should submit to these 'requests,' " declared the university's Keith Briffa. The center's chief, Phil Jones, wrote: "Data is covered by all the agreements we sign with people, so I will be hiding behind them."
When one skeptic kept filing FOI requests, Jones, who didn't return AP requests for comment, told another scientist, Michael Mann: "You can delete this attachment if you want. Keep this quiet also, but this is the person who is putting FOI requests for all e-mails Keith (Briffa) and Tim (Osborn) have written."
Mann, a researcher at Penn State University, told AP: "I didn't delete any e-mails as Phil asked me to. I don't believe anybody else did."
"Culture of corruption"
The most provocative e-mails are usually about one aspect of climate science: research from a decade ago that studied how warm or cold it was centuries ago through analysis of tree rings, ice cores and glacial melt. And most of those e-mails, which stretch from 1996 to last month, are from about a handful of scientists in dozens of e-mails.
Still, such research has been a key element in measuring climate change over long periods.
As part of the AP review, summaries of the e-mails that raised issues from the potential manipulation of data to intensely personal attacks were sent to seven experts in research ethics, climate science and science policy.
"This is normal science politics, but on the extreme end, though still within bounds," said Dan Sarewitz, a science policy professor at Arizona State University. "We talk about science as this pure ideal and the scientific method as if it is something out of a cookbook, but research is a social and human activity full of all the failings of society and humans, and this reality gets totally magnified by the high political stakes here."
In the past three weeks since the e-mails were posted, longtime opponents of mainstream climate science have repeatedly quoted excerpts of about a dozen e-mails. Republican congressmen and former vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin have called for either independent investigations, a delay in U.S. Environmental Protection Agency regulation of greenhouse gases or outright boycotts of the Copenhagen international climate talks. They cited a "culture of corruption" that the e-mails appeared to show.
That is not what AP found.
There were signs of trying to present the data as convincingly as possible.
One e-mail that skeptics have been citing often since the messages were posted online is from Jones. He says: "I've just completed Mike's (Mann) trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (from 1981 onward) and from 1961 for Keith's to hide the decline."
Jones was referring to tree ring data that indicated temperatures after the 1950s weren't as warm as scientists had determined.
The "trick" that Jones said he was borrowing from Mann was to add the real temperatures, not what the tree rings showed. And the decline he talked of hiding was not in real temperatures but in the tree-ring data, which was misleading, Mann explained.
But in the end, global warming didn't go away, according to the vast body of research over the years.
None of the e-mails flagged by AP and sent to three climate scientists viewed as moderates in the field changed their view that global warming is man-made and a threat. Nor did it alter their support of the conclusions of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which some of the scientists helped write.
"There is nothing we can do about them aside from continuing to publish quality work in quality journals (or calling in a Mafia hit)."
— Scientist in a March 12, 2003, e-mail about the work of two skeptics. Their paper minimizing the impact of human activity on climate change was eventually discredited when it was found to have been funded in part by the oil industry.
"In an odd way this is cheering news!" — A climate scientist reacts to the death of a climate change skeptic in January 2004.
"Personally, I wouldn't send him anything. I have no idea what he's up to, but you can be sure it falls into the 'no good' category."
— Michael Mann, in a Sept. 2, 2004, conversation about scientific rival Steve McIntyre's requests for data.
"I can't see either of these papers being in the next IPCC report. Kevin and I will keep them out somehow — even if we have to redefine what the peer-review literature is."
— Phil Jones, in a July 8, 2004, e-mail to Mann marked "HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL." In fact, the two papers did appear in the IPCC report, according to the journal Nature.
Wednesday, December 16, 2009
For all you AGW deniers...
CLIMATE CHANGE IS NATURAL: 100 REASONS WHY
http://www.dailyexpress.co.uk/posts/view/146138
http://www.dailyexpress.co.uk/posts/view/146138
Deal on forests emerges
BY ELISABETH ROSENTHAL - The New York Times
Published Wed, Dec 16, 2009 02:00 AM
COPENHAGEN - Negotiators have all but completed a sweeping deal that would compensate countries for preserving forests, and in some cases, other natural landscapes such as peat soils, swamps and fields that play a crucial role in curbing climate change.
Environmental groups have long advocated such a compensation program because forests efficiently absorb carbon dioxide, the primary heat-trapping gas linked to global warming. Rain forest destruction, which releases the carbon dioxide stored in trees, is estimated to account for 20 percent of greenhouse gas emissions globally.
The agreement for the program, if signed as expected, may turn out to be the most significant achievement to come out of the Copenhagen climate talks, providing a system through which countries can be paid for conserving disappearing natural assets based on their contribution to reducing emissions.
A final draft of the agreement for the compensation program, called Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation or REDD, is to be given today to ministers of the nearly 200 countries gathered in Copenhagen to hammer out a framework for a global climate treaty. Negotiators and other participants said that though some details remained to be worked out, all major points of disagreement - how to address the rights of indigenous people living on forest land and what is defined as forest, for example -- had been resolved through compromise.
A final agreement on the program may not be announced until the end of the week, when President Barack Obama and other world leaders arrive - in part because there has been so little progress on other issues at the climate summit, sponsored by the United Nations.
"It is likely to be the most concrete thing that comes out of Copenhagen - and it is a very big thing," Fred Krupp, head of the Environmental Defense Fund.
For poorer countries, the payments will provide a much-needed new income stream. For richer nations, the lure of the program is not cash but carbon credits that can be used to cancel out, in part, their industrial emissions under a carbon trading system, like the cap-and-trade plan currently under consideration by Congress.
Forests "have become a pot of money or a get-out-of-jail-free card," said Peg Putt, a consultant to the Wilderness Society. "Either way, there's the prospect of financial benefit now, as opposed to just being told, 'Do the right thing,' like it was two years ago."
The new plan represents an important shift from earlier U.N. climate programs, such asthe 1997 Kyoto Protocol, in which countries committed to curbing their industrial emissions but got no credit for reducing emissions through changes in land use.
The agreement is also being closely watched in the U.S. Congress, where climate legislation passed the House in June and is currently stalled in the Senate.
Under the cap-and-trade system preferred by Democratic leaders and the Obama administration, companies that cannot meet their greenhouse gas pollution limit could buy extra permits by investing in carbon-reduction programs abroad. Plans to preserve forests under REDD would presumably qualify.
The forest program "offers the opportunities for U.S. companies to reduce emissions at lower cost, which is very important politically," Krupp said.
Under the final draft of agreement, other habitats that absorb carbon dioxide - like peat bogs, which store large amounts of carbon dioxide in their soil - could be eligible for payments. This prospect has environmentalists scrambling to calculate the carbon storage capacity of such resources.
"Why is everyone thinking about forest and peat land while overlooking oceans, the biggest carbon store on the planet?" asked Dan Lafolley, marine vice chairman for the World Commission on Protected Areas of the Swiss-based International Union for the Conservation of Nature.
Even if the ministers pass the agreement, as it is predicted they will, it will take some time before the money starts flowing. Many details remain to be worked out, including the exact level of emissions reduction the REDD program should aim for and by what date, and what system should be used to measure the carbon storage of various habitats.
In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. section 107, any copyrighted material contained herein is distributed without profit or payment to those expressing prior interest in receiving this information for non-profit research and educational purposes only. For more information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml
Tuesday, December 15, 2009
Not So Private Property?: Clean Water Restoration Act Raises Fears of Land Grab
FOXNews.com
Upwards of 40 percent of all land in the United States is already under some form of government control or ownership -- 800 million to 900 million acres out of America's total 2.2 billion acres.
The government now appears poised to wield greater control over private property on a number of fronts. The battle over private property rights has intensified since 2005, when the Supreme Court ruled in the Kelo v. City of New London case that the government could take property from one group of private landowners and give it to another.
Outraged over that ruling and a series of recent efforts by government to wield greater control over private property, citizens are fighting back. Fox News' Shannon Bream takes a fair and balanced look at the controversy in a three-part series.
The Clean Water Restoration Act currently pending in the U.S. Senate could reach to control even a "seasonal puddle" on private property.
Eleven senators and 17 representatives in the U.S. House have sent a letter to Majority Leader Harry Reid and Speaker Nancy Pelosi blasting the measure as one of the boldest property grab attempts of all time.
This bill is described by opponents as a sweeping overhaul of the Clean Water Act that could threaten both physical land and jobs by wiping out some farmers entirely.
"Right now, the law says that the Environmental Protection Agency is in charge of all navigable water," said Sen. John Barrasso, R-Wyo., chairman of the Senate Western Caucus and an opponent of the bill.
"Well, this bill removes the word 'navigable,' so for ranchers and farmers who have mud puddles, prairie potholes -- anything from snow melting on their land -- all of that water will now come under the regulation of the Army Corps of Engineers and the Environmental Protection Agency," he said.
Barrasso said the federal government's one-size-fits-all approach doesn't work in the west where the Rocky Mountain states have gone even further than Washington to protect land, water and the environment.
"The government wants control of all water -- that also means that they want control over all of our land including the private property rights of people from the Rocky Mountain west, the western caucus and the entire United States," he said.
But Jan Goldman-Carter of the National Wildlife Foundation said fears by ranchers and farmers are unfounded.
"That amended language is very clear that it preserves long standing exemptions for ongoing agricultural practices, forest roads. There are a number of very generous exemptions in there particularly for ranchers and farmers that I know have been worried about the effect of this legislation, but in fact those worries are largely unfounded," she said.
Goldman-Carter added that the United States has long regulated streams and other waterways that aren't 'navigable' by boat because to do otherwise would be to allow dumping into smaller water sources that lead to the larger ones used for drinking water and other purposes.
"I can't imagine anyone wanting to walk down to the stream and dump their oil or paint," she said. "Even if they did they're not going to be enforced against now and they never were, there simply isn't the ability to do that."
Aside from striking "navigable," the bill defines U.S. water as "all waters subject to the ebb and flow of the tide, the territorial seas and all interstate and intrastate waters and their tributaries, including lakes, rivers, streams (including intermittent streams), mudflats, sandflats, wetlands, sloughs, prairie potholes, wet meadows, playa lakes, natural ponds and all impoundments of the foregoing, to the fullest extent that these waters."
It adds that any "activities affecting these waters are subject to the legislative power of Congress under the Constitution."
The legislation, introduced by Wisconsin Democratic Sen Russ Feingold, has the support of 24 senators. It passed the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee in June but has not been scheduled for a floor vote, though it could be tacked onto other legislation as an amendment.
Click here to read the bill.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2009/12/14/private-property-clean-water-restoration-act/?test=latestnews
Upwards of 40 percent of all land in the United States is already under some form of government control or ownership -- 800 million to 900 million acres out of America's total 2.2 billion acres.
The government now appears poised to wield greater control over private property on a number of fronts. The battle over private property rights has intensified since 2005, when the Supreme Court ruled in the Kelo v. City of New London case that the government could take property from one group of private landowners and give it to another.
Outraged over that ruling and a series of recent efforts by government to wield greater control over private property, citizens are fighting back. Fox News' Shannon Bream takes a fair and balanced look at the controversy in a three-part series.
The Clean Water Restoration Act currently pending in the U.S. Senate could reach to control even a "seasonal puddle" on private property.
Eleven senators and 17 representatives in the U.S. House have sent a letter to Majority Leader Harry Reid and Speaker Nancy Pelosi blasting the measure as one of the boldest property grab attempts of all time.
This bill is described by opponents as a sweeping overhaul of the Clean Water Act that could threaten both physical land and jobs by wiping out some farmers entirely.
"Right now, the law says that the Environmental Protection Agency is in charge of all navigable water," said Sen. John Barrasso, R-Wyo., chairman of the Senate Western Caucus and an opponent of the bill.
"Well, this bill removes the word 'navigable,' so for ranchers and farmers who have mud puddles, prairie potholes -- anything from snow melting on their land -- all of that water will now come under the regulation of the Army Corps of Engineers and the Environmental Protection Agency," he said.
Barrasso said the federal government's one-size-fits-all approach doesn't work in the west where the Rocky Mountain states have gone even further than Washington to protect land, water and the environment.
"The government wants control of all water -- that also means that they want control over all of our land including the private property rights of people from the Rocky Mountain west, the western caucus and the entire United States," he said.
But Jan Goldman-Carter of the National Wildlife Foundation said fears by ranchers and farmers are unfounded.
"That amended language is very clear that it preserves long standing exemptions for ongoing agricultural practices, forest roads. There are a number of very generous exemptions in there particularly for ranchers and farmers that I know have been worried about the effect of this legislation, but in fact those worries are largely unfounded," she said.
Goldman-Carter added that the United States has long regulated streams and other waterways that aren't 'navigable' by boat because to do otherwise would be to allow dumping into smaller water sources that lead to the larger ones used for drinking water and other purposes.
"I can't imagine anyone wanting to walk down to the stream and dump their oil or paint," she said. "Even if they did they're not going to be enforced against now and they never were, there simply isn't the ability to do that."
Aside from striking "navigable," the bill defines U.S. water as "all waters subject to the ebb and flow of the tide, the territorial seas and all interstate and intrastate waters and their tributaries, including lakes, rivers, streams (including intermittent streams), mudflats, sandflats, wetlands, sloughs, prairie potholes, wet meadows, playa lakes, natural ponds and all impoundments of the foregoing, to the fullest extent that these waters."
It adds that any "activities affecting these waters are subject to the legislative power of Congress under the Constitution."
The legislation, introduced by Wisconsin Democratic Sen Russ Feingold, has the support of 24 senators. It passed the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee in June but has not been scheduled for a floor vote, though it could be tacked onto other legislation as an amendment.
Click here to read the bill.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2009/12/14/private-property-clean-water-restoration-act/?test=latestnews
Friday, December 11, 2009
First-Ever Study Quantifies the Economic Impact of Private, Working Forests in the U.S.
Demonstrates that these forests are key to our national infrastructure
December 9, 2009; Charlotte, North Carolina
December 9, 2009; Charlotte, North Carolina
CHARLOTTE, N.C. (December 9, 2009) – A new study, commissioned by the National Alliance of Forest Owners (NAFO) and conducted by Forest2Market®, quantifies the economic impact of private, working forests on the U.S. economy. The study found a significant gap between the contributions made by privately-owned forests over other ownership types. On average, they generate $277,000 in state GDP per 1,000 acres, while public forests generate just $41,000.
The study also concludes that every 1,000 acres of private, working forest creates on average 8 jobs, $270,000 in annual payroll, $9,850 in annual state taxes (income and severance taxes only) and $733,000 in annual sales.
The study completes the picture of the contributions that working forests make, says David P. Tenny, President and CEO of NAFO. “We all know that private, working forests provide clean water and air, open space, wildlife habitat, recreation, and other environmental benefits. This study demonstrates the significant economic benefits these forests provide: family waged jobs, a strong tax base, and the economic foundation of the forest products industry. They are fundamental to both the economic and environmental infrastructure of our nation.”
The study, which looks at economic contribution by state and region as well as nationally, is the first of its kind. “To our knowledge, no one else has taken a comprehensive look at the total contribution that forests make to the economy,” says Pete Stewart, CEO and President of Forest2Market®.
“This study demonstrates that private working forests support local and state economies,” says Stewart. “While the industry is struggling from the depressed housing market and the wider recession, it’s important to know exactly how much working forests contribute in jobs, taxes and GDP. With a clear view of the total contribution, we can better understand the consequences of public policies and market factors that limit how much work these forests can do.”
Results of the study are available using the interactive map on NAFO’s website. The full study is available at http://nafoalliance.org/wp-content/uploads/f2m_economic_impact_study_2009.pdf or http://www.forest2market.com/f2m-impact.
About NAFO
NAFO is an organization of private forest owners promoting federal policies that protect the economic and environmental values of privately-owned forests at the national level. NAFO membership encompasses more than 75 million acres of private forestland in 47 states.
NAFO Contact:
Dan Whiting, Director of Communications
National Alliance of Forest Owners
2025 M Street NW, Suite 800
Washington, DC 20036
Email: dwhiting@nafoalliance.org
Phone: (202) 367-1222
Wednesday, December 2, 2009
U.S. economy and housing starts to recover slowly and steadily
Sunday November 15, 2009
U.S. softwood lumber demand and prices poised to rise slowly in 2010 but gaining momentum in 2011 as demand climbs
The worst is almost over for the North American softwood lumber market as improving demand in 2010 is expected to breathe some life back into a beaten up industry.
While the coming winter will likely be a tough one, rising housing starts, lean distribution channel inventories and some lingering government stimulus programs should kick-start lumber demand and even prices. After facing declining markets and prices since 2006, the 2010 outlook predicts that there will be enough building blocks in place to allow for some much needed market improvement. But it is in 2011 - and especially in 2012 and 2013 – that a real housing recovery is forecast to take hold, creating higher prices with significant price volatility occurring as sudden demand surges catch the lumber market by surprise.
These and other outlooks, including a detailed forecast of U.S. and Canadian housing starts, North American consumption trends and production output by supplying region, are part of the comprehensive assessments in the Softwood Lumber Chapter from the multi-client report published by International WOOD MARKETS Group. WOOD Markets 2010 – the Five-Year Outlook for North American Solid Wood Products is the first five-year outlook that has required an investigation into a number of new factors impacting the demand for structural lumber and wood products given the state of the U.S. and Canadian housing markets and the impact of the U.S. and global economies and the recession.
The WOOD Markets 2010 forecast for softwood lumber outlines a number of structural changes that are occurring in lumber supply dynamics in North America. “With permanent timber supply cut backs in Eastern Canada and the mountain pine lumber negatively impacting the economics of processing logs to lumber in B.C., Canada’s lumber production has peaked and may never return to the record lumber output of 35.2 billion bf achieved in 2004,” explained Russell Taylor, President of WOOD MARKETS and the key author of WOOD Markets 2010. “In fact, Canada’s market share of U.S. consumption is expected to remain in the 27% range in the forecast vs. a more normal 32-34% over the last 15 years due simply to lower timber harvests and therefore less lumber production. And Canada’s market share is expected to drop even further by 2020!” This will provide some much needed good news for producers in other North American regions, as the U.S. South and the U.S. West are expected to be the major beneficiaries of these changes in Canadian supply dynamics.
There are many wild-cards expected to impact lumber prices in each year of the five-year forecast. “A big element impacting the lumber price outlook will be the industry’s schedule or strategy for putting curtailed or even closed sawmill production back online, not to mention the log inventories companies can, or are willing to, build,” commented Russell Taylor. “How it balances or doesn’t balance with lumber demand will show up in how lumber prices move in the next five years. But by 2012 and especially 2013 when demand should outstrip supply at various stages, stud and dimension lumber prices should climb to average an incredible US$200/Mbf or so higher than 2009 levels!” The prospects of higher prices will be welcomed by all players in the North American lumber sector, but cost pressures such as rising log costs may not directly translate into major windfalls – but modest profits, yes!
While everyone knows that the lumber market is going to get better, the challenge is in understanding all the economic variables and wildcards that can impact housing starts, repair and remodelling and overall lumber demand over the next five years. “Our analysis indicates that a slower recovery is expected initially, with housing starts in 2010 moving higher to the 700,000 unit range from about 575,000 units in 2009,” said Gerry Van Leeuwen, Vice-President. “However, a looming deficit in new single-family homes will require a significant surge in U.S. housing starts that is expected to exceed 1.5 million units by 2013 – or back to more “normal” or long-term housing start levels.”
Some of the other highlights from the Softwood Lumber Chapter of WOOD Markets 2010 include:
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Rising housing starts in the U.S. are expected to occur in 2010 following the Obama government housing stimulus legislation of 2009 and the development of more normalized housing inventories. These two factors are key in allowing for a rebound in new residential housing starts and increasing lumber demand that is forecast to continue through 2013.
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Total U.S. lumber consumption is forecast to increase from 32.8 billion bf in 2009 to over 50 billion bf in 2013 — a 50+% increase from 2009.
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From a peak of 28.6 billion bf of lumber consumed in new U.S. residential housing construction in 2005, lumber demand plummeted to about 6.9 billion bf in 2009. By 2013, and, in using what appears to be a conservative housing forecast, lumber consumption in new housing is expected to rebound to over 19 billion bf in 2013 — a huge gain but still well below the peak of 2005.
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All regions in the U.S. and Canada are expected to rebound with an average annual increase of about 10% expected from 2009 to 2014 as sawmill operating rates improve from dismal levels averaging just 50% in 2009 to near 90% levels by 2013.
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Total North American lumber production peaked at 75 billion bf in 2005 and will bottom out dramatically lower at near 43 billion bf in 2009. Steady rises are forecast in output, to well over 60 billion bf in 2013 allowing most remaining mills to resume production at more normal historic levels.
WOOD Markets 2010 – The Solid Wood Products Outlook for North America: 2010-2014, is produced by International WOOD Markets Group Inc. and is based on 20 years of on-going market research and analysis. Note: details on the five-year forecast for structural and non-structural panels will be released on November 26.
About International WOOD Markets Group
International WOOD Markets Group (www.woodmarkets.com ) comprises wood products market and business consulting services for industry and government clients. The firm maintains a global data-base and also offers numerous industry or market specific multi-client reports, including its landmark WOOD Markets Monthly International Report.
Strategic business assessments of matching timber resources to global commodity and specialty wood product markets coupled with our feasibility analyses of timber processing options are trademark skills of the firm. Our ability to conduct in-the-field investigations coupled with our global network of contacts and comprehensive data-base delivers strategic results for clients looking to review their domestic or global business and marketing plan or in evaluating other potential solid wood product manufacturing investments.
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